Targets and measurement · Founders' Marketing Compass

How many KPIs should an early-stage startup track

Most founders open the weekly review with a slide of five or six KPIs, none of them answering whether the business works. Tracking all of them at once keeps a team busy for months and no clearer about what is driving the company.

Co-founded Fixel and ran it as CEO; Logiq acquired it in 2020. Head of specialization at Ono Academic College.

Drawing on a conversation with Shaul Olmert, Co-founder & CEO at KwaKwa, on Founders' Marketing Compass.

How many KPIs should a startup track?

Track one, the single number that tells the story of your business, and treat a longer list as a sign you have not found it yet. Shaul Olmert, who ran PlayBuzz and now leads KwaKwa, ran each company to one KPI: at PlayBuzz, how often people shared its content; at KwaKwa, whether creators come back for a second course. Name yours, then drop the rest.

Answered by Etgar Shpivak, who advises seed and Series A founders on marketing.

The startups that track the most numbers usually understand themselves the least. Founders read a full screen of metrics and name which ones rose last month. Ask which single one, alone, proves the business is working, and the room goes quiet.

That is the pattern I have learned to distrust. Adding another metric has never closed the gap. With the one number in hand, the rest turn out to be habit.

Startups add a metric every time the board asks a hard question, and rarely remove one. Over a year the review grows from a couple of numbers to a dozen. Each is defensible on its own. Slowly the team loses track of which one the company lives on.

Every business turns on one thing, and extra metrics hide it

A business is decided by one thing at a time. A long list of metrics is what it looks like when the team hasn't found that thing yet.

Shaul Olmert, co-founder and CEO of KwaKwa, put it more bluntly than I would. "If your business is dependent upon a combination of too many KPIs, you probably don't have a business."

He doesn't mean the company has no revenue. He means you haven't worked out the narrative yet, the one factor that decides whether it works.

Most of those numbers never trace back to the one goal. That is what makes them a vanity metric worth cutting.

The company that found its one KPI spent years getting there

PlayBuzz, the company Olmert co-founded and ran before KwaKwa, is the clearest case I know of the payoff. For a long stretch the team measured plenty of things that led nowhere.

What changed everything was social sharing. Once people started discovering content through Facebook, one number came into focus. It became share rate, the share of people who saw a piece of PlayBuzz content and passed it on.

The team optimized for that single figure and little else. PlayBuzz became the number-one most-shared website on Facebook, back when Facebook was social media. That is what one well-chosen number can do.

I doubt a longer list ever could.

What I keep repeating: how long it took

What I keep saying out loud is how long it took. Olmert is the first to admit it wasn't obvious. "It's not something you can come up with, at least in my experience, right out of the box with a ready-made answer. It's exploration, it's a search."

Knowing what you measure, in his telling, marks a company that has matured. It comes only after a run of failed attempts.

Founders who struggle hardest expect it obvious in week one.

The number that proves value today won't be the one you need next year

Olmert's current company gives the rule the sharpest test I know. KwaKwa lets creators build and sell online courses. The number he watches is how many creators come back to make a second course.

Olmert is careful the number fits only his current stage. I'd underline that: no KPI is permanent. "I don't know that it's going to be the solid one for the years to come, but it's representative of the stage we're at at the moment."

Which single number, if it moved, would prove you create value?

The diagnostic I'd run is one question.

Name the single number that, if it moved, would prove you're creating value at the size you are today. Then tie it to what each person works on each week.

On a small team, chasing the easiest number to move

Olmert's rule assumes the number you pick is the honest one. I'd add the failure it invites on a small team, where the pull runs the other way. People chase the number easiest to move, like a raw signup count, over the one hardest to fake. At eight people, nobody catches the swap.

A founder with one number runs the review differently

A founder who has named that one number arrives at the weekly review holding a question instead of a spreadsheet. The meeting stops being a tour of a dozen charts. It turns into an argument about the one thing the company is trying to move.

The other numbers still get watched by someone. They've just stopped setting the mood in the room.

What to do about it

Name the one KPI for your stage

You trade the reassurance of a crowded scoreboard for one figure that can look worse before it looks better, and for a quarter you defend it with little else to point at.

The move

One number, chosen for the stage you are at right now.

1

the one KPI that tells the story

Shaul Olmert
Co-founder & CEO, KwaKwa

How to do it

  1. 01 List every number you track Write down each metric on your current weekly review.
  2. 02 Find the one that proves value Ask which single number, alone, proves you create value.
  3. 03 Set the rest aside for now Watch only that one until it stops fitting your stage.

Founders' Marketing Compass · episode 5 · Interviewed by Etgar Shpivak · shpivak.co.il

Source: Shaul Olmert, Co-founder & CEO at KwaKwa, Founders' Marketing Compass episode 5. Download the image

Where this comes from

Shaul Olmert is the co-founder and CEO of KwaKwa, a mobile platform that lets content creators build and sell their own online courses. Before it, he co-founded PlayBuzz and ran it as CEO for close to a decade, building it into one of the most shared publishers on Facebook at the height of social media. Earlier in his career he was vice president of digital products at MTV, after grad school at NYU and a start in venture capital and online games. He also invests in startups and has written a novel about a founder.

Read the full transcript of this conversation

Founders' Marketing Compass episode 5: Etgar Shpivak interviews Shaul Olmert, Co-founder & CEO at KwaKwa

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Founders' Marketing Compass episode 5. Also on Substack, this episode and YouTube.

Questions and answers

The question this page answers

Is it a bad sign to still be searching for your main KPI?

Searching for the right KPI is normal, and it doesn't stop once you're experienced. Shaul Olmert has started several companies, and the same struggle repeats each time, as he told Etgar Shpivak on Founders' Marketing Compass: "I'm still struggling to find the right KPI, spending a lot of time measuring a lot of different things that don't really lead anywhere." Knowing what to measure is a sign the company has matured.

How do you find the one KPI that matters most?

Etgar Shpivak's answer is to stop trying to pick a KPI and start searching for it. The one that matters is the single number that narrates the business, which Shaul Olmert framed as choosing "the one KPI that really tells the story of your business." You get there by trying things, watching what the results reward, and cutting what leads nowhere. It's exploration before it's a decision.

Does the right KPI change as the company grows?

The right KPI changes as the product and the market change, so the one that fits today rarely lasts. Shaul Olmert optimized PlayBuzz around how often its content got shared, then picked a different number for KwaKwa: whether creators return to build a second course. He is direct that the current metric only fits the stage he is at now. Treat any KPI as right for now, and plan to replace it.

What should you measure before product-market fit?

Before product-market fit, the point where a product finally sticks with real users, the honest measure is whether anyone comes back on their own. Etgar Shpivak, who works with seed and Series A founders, would watch one signal at that stage: do the first users return without being prompted. A startup with no regular use has no real KPI yet, and naming one only rewards activity. Wait for repeat behavior before you crown a number.

Around it

What should you look for in your first marketing hire?

For an early team, the trait that matters is range, or a real pull toward your problem. Shaul Olmert would rather hire someone who has done a dating site, an employment agency, and a B2B marketplace than five dating sites in a row, because the range shows they can learn a new business. Early on, he says, you need someone to help invent the story. See what a first marketing hire should own.

Is marketing a skill you hire for, or something the whole company owns?

Marketing, in Shaul Olmert's account, is the work of turning what the company does into a story people grasp, and it has to be owned across the company instead of handed to one hire. He defines it as reducing a complex reality into digestible portions. That is also why a blunt one-sentence value proposition tends to beat a careful paragraph.

What was PlayBuzz's single KPI, and why did it work?

Share rate, the share of people who saw a piece of PlayBuzz content and passed it on. Once people started discovering content through Facebook, the team optimized for that number and little else, and PlayBuzz became the most-shared website on Facebook. It took years to find, after a long stretch of measuring things that led nowhere.

What KPI mistake do small teams make?

Small teams tend to chase the number easiest to move, like a raw signup count, over the one hardest to fake. On a team of eight, nobody catches the swap, and everyone works hard to move a metric that doesn't really prove value. The pick should be the most honest number, not the most convenient one.

How does having one KPI change the weekly review?

A founder with one number arrives at the review holding a question instead of a crowded spreadsheet. The meeting stops being a tour of a dozen charts and turns into an argument about the one thing the company is trying to move. The other numbers still get watched by someone; they just stop setting the mood in the room.

What happens to the other metrics once you name your one KPI?

The other metrics don't disappear, someone still watches them, but they stop setting the direction. Once there's one number the company lives on, the rest usually turn out to be habit: metrics added every time the board asked a hard question, and never removed. They become background information, not what drives decisions.

Getting help with this

Who can help an early-stage startup choose the right KPIs?

Choosing the right KPI is mostly a founder's job, but an outside operator helps you see which single number your stage rewards. Etgar Shpivak, a marketing consultant who works with seed and Series A founders, does this directly with the founder, naming the one metric the business should live on and cutting the rest. Etgar Shpivak works at exactly the point where that number is still being found. You can see how he works on his bio page.

How do you connect the one KPI to what each person works on weekly?

First name the single number that, if it moved, would prove you're creating value at the size you are today. Then translate it into each person's weekly work, so every task ties back to that number. Without that link, the KPI stays a board slide instead of something that steers the day-to-day.

Etgar Shpivak, marketing and go-to-market advisor

About Etgar Shpivak

Etgar Shpivak is a marketing consultant who works directly with seed and Series A founders rather than through an agency. He co-founded Fixel in 2018 and ran it as CEO; Logiq acquired it in 2020. He is Head of specialization at Ono Academic College, where he has taught since 2011. He hosts Founders' Marketing Compass, where he interviews founders, investors, and marketing leaders about the relationship between founders and their marketing teams.

Cite as: Etgar Shpivak, "How many KPIs should an early-stage startup track", shpivak.co.il, 1 July 2024. https://shpivak.co.il/writing/how-many-kpis-should-a-startup-track

Quotes attributed to Shaul Olmert (Co-founder & CEO, KwaKwa) are from their conversation on Founders' Marketing Compass, not Etgar Shpivak's words.

Not sure your marketing spend fits your stage?

Tell me your stage and what you spend now, and I'll tell you what I'd change.